Introduction to Fire Behavior Modeling
Wildfire is at once a naturally occurring agent for ecological change and a potentially destructive natural phenomenon akin to earthquakes and floods. As wildfire occurrence has increased over the last several decades, so too has interest in the modeling of wildfire behavior. Wildfire behavior modeling is used across a variety of spatial and temporal scales, from planning the management of a wildfire incident over the next few days or weeks to land management planning over millions of acres for decades to come.
The information presented here is not a substitute for modeling experience gained during an apprenticeship under a master or journey-level fire behavior modeler. However, it does provide a solid foundation upon which to build such experience.